4/14/2022

Draftkings Player Props

Kareem Hunt and the Cleveland Browns take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Divisional Round on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a breakdown of Hunt’s prop bets for rushing and receiving yards in that matchup.

Kareem Hunt Player Props vs. Chiefs

Hunt’s Game-by-Game Stats

Wild Card DraftKings Player Prop Bets J.D. McKissic Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-118) This number is off from the market with Fanduel posting it at 18.5 and PointsBet floating it at 17.5.
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This is one you can grab on DraftKings Colorado Sportsbook. It’s fun to take a chance on these kinds of player props and Jamal Murray scoring the first basket of the game is one we love.

Rounding out this section is two lower-floor props that I think should hit. O9.5 (-134) – If he fails me again I'm just going to put together a KCP Anonymous group afterward, but Kentavious Caldwell-Pope should score over 9.5 points (-134) against the league's worst defense (by a noticeable margin) against shooting guards.

Week	Opponent	Off. Snaps	Carries	Rush Yards	Rush TDs	Receptions	Yards	TDs
Week 1	@Ravens	36	13	72	0	4	9	0
Week 2	Bengals	20	10	86	1	2	15	1
Week 3	Washington	29	16	46	0	2	18	1
Week 4	@Cowboys	26	11	71	2	0	0	0
Week 5	Colts	51	20	72	0	3	21	1
Week 6	@Steelers	30	13	40	0	2	17	0
Week 7	@Bengals	47	18	76	0	3	26	1
Week 8	Raiders	42	14	66	0	2	7	0
Week 10	Texans	38	19	104	0	3	28	0
Week 11	Eagles	36	13	11	1	1	10	0
Week 12	@Jaguars	28	10	62	0	0	0	0
Week 13	@Titans	35	14	33	0	3	24	0
Week 14	Ravens	39	6	33	1	6	77	1
Week 15	@Giants	21	7	21	0	3	7	0
Week 16	@Jets	35	4	11	1	3	41	0
Week 17	Steelers	35	10	37	0	1	4	0
Week 1	@Steelers	25	8	48	2	1	13	0

Rushing Yards Betting Insights

The Chiefs allow 122.1 yards per game on the ground, good for the NFL’s 20th-ranked rush defense.
Hunt’s 52.3 rushing yards per game average in 2020 is 0.2 less than Sunday’s over/under.
Eight times this season (out of 17 total games — 47.1%), Hunt has had more than 52.5 rushing yards.
Hunt has fallen short of his season rushing yards prop average (53.2) by 0.9 yards.
Hunt has hit the rushing yards over in only six of 17 opportunities (35.3%).
Hunt has out-rushed his season-long rushing yards prop bet average (53.2) in only 47.1% of his games (eight out of 17 matchups).

Receiving Yards Betting Tips

Hunt is averaging 18.6 receiving yards per game, 0.9 less than the over/under of 19.5 set for Sunday’s matchup.
In 35.3% of his games this season (six of 17), Hunt has collected more than 19.5 receiving yards.
The Chiefs defense has allowed opposing receivers to haul in the 18th-most yards in the NFL this season (248.0 per game).
In just four of his 17 games (23.5%), Hunt has surpassed his average receiving yards prop bet of 24.6 yards.
Hunt’s average prop bet for receiving yards is an over/under of 24.6 per game. He averages 6.0 less per game than that average.
In just five of his 17 games (29.4%), Hunt has hit the over on receiving yards prop bets.

Odds and insights reflect consensus player props available as of January 11, 2021. CLICK HERE to place your bet on Kareem Hunt or the Cleveland Browns at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Browns vs. Chiefs Betting Odds

This article is part of our DraftKings Sportsbook series.

I couldn't have really asked for a better day Saturday as Clint Capela annihilated his double-double prop bet and all four of the best bets hit. If not for Keldon Johnson dropping the ball we would have had a perfect day altogether, so we'll hope for another solid day this go around. 10 games on Wednesday's slate opens up a bunch of different prop-bet possibilities and I think there are enough 'locks' that you could make a realistic parlay or two, particularly if you factor in some gimme spreads.

Points Props

Evidently, DraftKings felt particularly ambitious with a number of their point prop bets because I think there's a handful of 'unders' that make sense. I hate to target a guy that has done so well for us as of late, but taking the under on Malcolm Brogdon's 22.5 points (-115) sure feels like easy money when you consider the Mavs allow the third-fewest points to PGs in the NBA. The 28-year-old has also been under that figure in three of the last five games and both of those 'overs' were against teams who are miserable defensively.

I also like the under on Josh Okogie's 7.5 points (+104), mainly because the odds are so nice. Either due to his hamstring injury or just overall ineffectiveness, Okogie has averaged just 23 minutes and 4.3 points over his last three starts and the Magic also tend to play well against SFs, allowing the seventh-fewest points to the position. Don't toss it into a parlay, but if you're looking at plus-money props, that one feels like the easiest target.

If you do want to find a parlay filler, look no further than under 8.5 points for Tristan Thompson's (-134) point total. Especially with Joel Embiid playing at his All-NBA level this year, I just don't see a way in which Thompson gets close to that total, particularly when he's playing around 21 minutes on average over the last four games.

Perhaps my favorite bet of the day is actually an over pertaining to D'Angelo Russell's 23.5 points (-125). Generally speaking, I tend to stay away from large points figures from stars just because there's more volatility game-to-game, but in this case, I really don't see a way in which the 218.5 O/U comes into play unless Russell goes off. Thankfully, the Magic allow the third-most points to PGs across the league and no Karl Anthony-Towns (COVID-19) just puts more of the offensive onus on the 2015 No. 2 overall pick.

Rebounds/Assists Props

To be honest, there weren't any 'noticeable' rebounds/assists prop bets that jumped out, so I wanted to hammer home a few points/assists/rebounds (PRA for short) props that make sense instead.

I don't know when DraftKings will get it right with Jerami Grant's totals, but it certainly isn't Wednesday. We've been able to target the overs plenty of times and while I think the sportsbook has finally gotten close to an appropriate point total (o/u 22.5), there's plenty of room for the 30.5 PRA over to hit (-125). Grant has hit that over in five of the last six games and to help matters more, the Hawks are top-10 in terms of rebounds allowed to small forwards.

There's a bit of a sweet spot we've developed over the last couple of weeks targeting the over on small forwards who play a lot of minutes and find themselves in favorable situations. OG Anunoby, Jerami Grant, De'Andre Hunter, and now....Mikal Bridges. There's nothing wrong with taking Bridges 13.5 point over for plus money (+104), but I think the rebounds makes his PRA over (19.5, -114) a pretty easy mark to hit.

If I felt a bit better about Patrick Beverley's minutes I'd make the 16.5 PRA over (-110) one of the easiest locks of the night, but as it stands I still think it's worth mentioning. The Kings are dreadful against opposing PGs allowing the most points and second-most assists throughout the season and even if Beverly were to play close to his season average in minutes (26.4), I think this bet has the chance of hitting. No Lou Williams (hip) would likely bump that total even higher basically all but assuring the over.

Draftkings Player Props For Beginners

Best Bets

Draftkings Player Props For Sale

Josh Okogie under 7.5 points (+104)
Tristan Thompson under 8.5 points/Nets win (+108)
Mikal Bridges over 19.5 points/rebounds/assists (-114)
D'Angelo Russell over 23.5 points (-125)